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Polling accuracy Archive

Number Cruncher Politics Briefing Number Cruncher Politics is the non-partisan polling and elections site that predicted the 2015 UK opinion polling disaster
Roundup

Irish ayes are smiling

27th May 2018 | Matt Singh |
More
Number Cruncher Politics Briefing Number Cruncher Politics is the non-partisan polling and elections site that predicted the 2015 UK opinion polling disaster
Analysis

Is Labour secretly 12 points ahead?

20th November 2017 | Matt Singh |
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#LibDemFightback goes national... Somewhat Average of all polls in each month since May 2015
Analysis

Have the Lib Dems brought Goodhart's Law to politics?

6th March 2017 | Matt Singh |
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image: SXC/emilien auneau
Analysis

US 2016 – Are the polls getting it wrong?

12th October 2016 | Matt Singh |
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Image: Ian Forsyth/Bloomberg
Analysis, EU referendum, Media

It's the unlikely voters wot won it

5th July 2016 | Matt Singh |
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Analysis, EU referendum

Referendum reflection

26th June 2016 | Matt Singh |
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Latest Brexit polls odds - UK EU referendum
Analysis, EU referendum, Media

Projection and referendum night

23rd June 2016 | Matt Singh |
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Latest Brexit polls odds - UK EU referendum
Analysis, EU referendum

Forecast update: Brexit probability increases sharply

13th June 2016 | Matt Singh |
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Latest Brexit polls odds - UK EU referendum
Analysis, EU referendum, Roundup

Brexit likelihood has increased, but Remain is still favourite

7th June 2016 | Matt Singh |
More
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Analysis, EU referendum, Roundup

Is Britain heading for Brexit? Latest polls

31st May 2016 | Matt Singh |
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