YouGov's fieldwork for tomorrow's Sun was after David Cameron's interview yesterday, but mostly before today's press coverage. They found that a majority (55%) of respondents thought he was right to rule out a third term. Their toplines show the Conservatives and Labour tied once again, but now on 35%, the first time YouGov has found the two largest parties at this level or higher since 19th August:
YouGov/Sun: CON 35 (+1) LAB 35 (+1) LIB 8 (=) UKIP 12 (=) GRN 6 (=) Fieldwork 23rd-24th #GE2015 #Newsnight
— NumbrCrunchrPolitics (@NCPoliticsUK) March 24, 2015
Which highlights the ongoing trend back towards the two largest parties:
With YouGov, "big two" combined support is back up to pre-Clacton levels: http://t.co/dHFXVkbQWi #GE2015 #Newsnight pic.twitter.com/grpd7xc9Ty
— NumbrCrunchrPolitics (@NCPoliticsUK) March 24, 2015
We'll also get the ComRes/Daily Mail phone poll at midnight (update 00:03 – yet another tie!):
ComRes/Mail (Phone): CON 35 (+1) LAB 35 (+3) LIB 8 (=) UKIP 10 (-3) GRN 7 (-1) #GE2015
— NumbrCrunchrPolitics (@NCPoliticsUK) March 25, 2015
Elsewhere, following yesterday‘s Scottish poll, I’ve posted an update on the situation there – not much change, with the SNP still heading for a landslide:
We also got an EU referendum question from YouGov, which showed the biggest net “in” since they started asking the question in its current form. The “renegotiated terms” question showed a slight narrowing, but still points to an almighty landslide for “in”.
YouGov (EU referendum): IN 46 (+1) OUT 36 (=) YouGov (EU referendum, renegotiated terms): IN 57 (=) OUT 22 (+1) http://t.co/E1YYMVrQ1k
— NumbrCrunchrPolitics (@NCPoliticsUK) March 24, 2015
The BBC announced details of its “first fully digital” election coverage, which seems to have a strong emphasis on technology and younger voters. Separately, we also got to see footage of the TNS/BBC focus group of “disillusioned” voters in Watford.
TNS/BBC focus group in Watford is pretty negative on just about everything… http://t.co/VxDLObjTAl #GE2015
— NumbrCrunchrPolitics (@NCPoliticsUK) March 24, 2015
And finally, I’ve mentioned my admiration before for candidates and campaigners in all parties that take to the streets in appalling weather. Given the length of this campaign 2015 might just have seen the worst campaign trail weather since February 1974. Here’s what Todd Foreman was faced with in sunny Somerset NE earlier:
Some heavy hail falling in #Keynsham now pic.twitter.com/5zImKOuKPW
— Todd Foreman (@ToddDForeman) March 24, 2015
Tomorrow we get the daily YouGov/Sun online poll and Survation’s monthly for the Daily Mirror.
