November Voting Intention

Our latest voting intention figures continue to show a close race. The Conservatives dip below 40 per cent for the first time in Number Cruncher polling this parliament, putting their lead at two points, which is within the poll’s margin of error, and significantly below its peak of 26 points in March.

Full GB figures and changes from our October toplines are as follows:

Conservative39 (-2)
Labour37 (-1)
Liberal Democrats7 (+2)
SNP5 (=)
Green5 (-1)
Reform UK/Brexit Party4 (=)
Plaid Cymru1 (+1)
Another party or candidate1 (=)

Tables are available here.

Number Cruncher interviewed 1,001 GB adults online between 20th and 28th November. Data are weighted by age, gender, education, ethnicity and region to match the profile of the population. Voting intention figures are additionally weighted by likelihood to vote. Image credit: Barry Caruth (CC BY-SA 2.0).

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