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Labour Archive

Labour leadership: Only the final round is close Percentage vote shares by candidate in each round. Data source: YouGov
Analysis

Corbyn leads the way

22nd July 2015 | Matt Singh |
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CLP nominations aren't a perfect indicator, but... Percentages of 2010 Constituency Labour Party nominations and first preference member votes. Data sources: LabourList, Wikipedia
Analysis

Corbyn's chances are FAR better than odds suggest

20th July 2015 | Matt Singh |
More
Image: Delbert/HD Shock
Analysis

20 percent of British people are liars

16th July 2015 | Matt Singh |
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This does not look like herding Counts of pollster/party cominations (total 55) at each sigma ±0.5, based on final call polls normalised to party means and to poll/party standard error.
Analysis

Is there evidence of pollsters herding?

25th June 2015 | Matt Singh |
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The structural bias has never gone away
Analysis

10 days on, a look back at the "Shy Tory" prediction

16th May 2015 | Matt Singh |
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Real votes look rather different from polls... Incumbent popular vote lead at election (y) versus linearly-weighted averages of mid term NEV leads (x). Data source: Rallings and Thrasher
Analysis

Is there a shy Tory factor in 2015?

6th May 2015 | Matt Singh |
More
Number Cruncher Politics Daily Polling Roundup 26th April
Roundup

Daily polling roundup 26th April

26th April 2015 | Matt Singh |
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Analysis

Swingback or stasis? A comparison of phone vs online polls

14th April 2015 | Matt Singh |
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Number Cruncher Politics Daily Polling Roundup 8th April
Roundup

Daily polling roundup 8th April

8th April 2015 | Matt Singh |
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Ashcroft Lib Dem seats
Analysis

Ashcroft – Clegg's backyard still too close to call

1st April 2015 | Matt Singh |
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