For ITV’s Peston programme, Number Cruncher conducted a poll of over 2,000 UK adults, looking at attitudes to Covid-19, together with voting intention.
The poll finds that while the vast majority of UK adults would get vaccinated, there is significantly more hesitancy among non-white communities.
The poll’s oversample of 1,000 non-white UK adults allows us to publish ethnic minority voting intention figures:
LAB 60
CON 22
GRN 5
LD 5
SNP 2
BXP 2
PC 0
OTH 1
Combining this with the white sample in representative proportions (approximately 88 per cent white, 12 per cent ethnic minority, prior to turnout weighting) gives us the following nationally representative voting intention figures, with changes from our September poll:
CON 41 (-1)
LAB 38 (=)
GRN 6 (+1)
LD 5 (-1)
SNP 5 (=)
BXP 4 (+2)
PC 0 (=)
OTH 1 (-1)
Crossbreaks, including those for some individual ethnic groups, will have larger margins of error than a full-sized poll. Very small crossbreaks – specifically those with unweighted subsamples smaller than 50 – are included for completeness but are not statistically reliable.
Tables are available here for ethnic minority respondents and here for white respondents.
On behalf of ITV, Number Cruncher Politics interviewed 2,088 adult (18+) UK residents online between 9th and 17th October 2020. The sample included 1,088 white respondents and 1,000 ethnic minority respondents. White and ethnic minority subsamples were each independently weighted to the profiles of their respective subpopulations, from which nationally representative figures were derived based on the combined sample, weighted to representative proportions. Image credit: Mine Finn (CC BY-SA 2.0).
