Daily polling roundup 2nd May

The last weekend before the election saw a raft of polls, with four new national surveys and constituent country polling from all around the UK. Opinium/Observer again had the Tories fractionally in front:

ComRes polled jointly for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror, but unusually, by phone. A tie in a phone poll is good for Labour, and this is the second in a row from ComRes. There are some signs too that the Greens are starting to do a bit better in phone polls – 7% is a joint all-time high with ComRes (recall too that MORI had them on 8% on Thursday).

Survation’s poll for the Mail on Sunday had Labour 3 points ahead. To correct the tweet, there is no method change for the headline figure itself:

Finally among GB-wide polls, YouGov/Times, completed earlier today, showed the Conservatives a point ahead, but with Cameron the clear winner of Question Time.

YouGov also polled for the Times in Scotland:

As well as for Plaid Cymru in Wales. You can read Roger Scully’s analysis here.

And in Northern Ireland, LucidTalk’s panel forecast was unchanged from the previous edition, with the only change from 2010 being Belfast East being retaken by the DUP from the Alliance Party:

And finally, for those who still think that Gordon Banks getting food poisoning changed the result of the 1970 election:

Tomorrow there will be plenty of polls in the field, but none scheduled for release apart from YouGov/Sun.





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